【新年数据大更新】墨尔本2007到2015年底 独立HOUSE 中间价 资本增值比，83个区再来大比拼。

fangjinghua

Realestate.com.au上现成的是06-14年的数据， lz为什么要选07到14？ 果真是用心良苦啊。

fangjinghua

06-07年是很有趣的一年。 很多区域都大涨， ringwood一年涨了5万， glen 一年涨了13万，clayton就差一些， 只涨了2万。如果算算8年增幅， glen比clayton优胜, ringwood可以打平。

mlink3

fangjinghua 发表于 2015-2-18 22:40
Realestate.com.au上现成的是06-14年的数据， lz为什么要选07到14？ 果真是用心良苦啊。 ...

一般只说7年翻一倍， 10年翻一倍的话，因为没有十年的数据 我就用了七年的。 我本来是发个帖说近两年的事。 但是很多人问什么北区西区的， 所以我就发了这个贴， 我自己也没想到Clayton会是第一

mlink3

fangjinghua 发表于 2015-2-18 22:55
06-07年是很有趣的一年。 很多区域都大涨， ringwood一年涨了5万， glen 一年涨了13万，clayton就差一些，  ...

而且你这样说其实没有底， 我还觉得15年是burwood, box hill , Clayton 的暴涨期呢， 那是不是要等16年 大家再做一个大盘点 才算公平啊？

mlink3

其实谁高谁低没那么重要。其实这个贴告诉我们一个道理， capital gain 是和区的好坏是没什么太大关系的

mlink3

dragonballz

It should be Springvale and Dandenong's turn now

Clayton will meet a bottleneck. Its median price is currently in 800K, really difficult rising again. I lived there in 2009 for a year, too many Indian

mlink3

dragonballz 发表于 2015-2-19 09:18
It should be Springvale and Dandenong's turn now

Clayton will meet a bottleneck. Its median  ...

not much indian now...things have changed since..

also median price is 737k...not 800k..while box hill has a median price of 1.05 mil, i think there is plenty of space for it to go up

XiaoxianZ

我就知道我大Ringwood肯定名列前茅

沉默的熊

楼主的图可以终结中介的忽悠。

mlink3

沉默的熊 发表于 2015-2-19 09:26
楼主的图可以终结中介的忽悠。

是的， 这就是我的想要说的。。和谁是第一名根本没关系

mlink3

XiaoxianZ 发表于 2015-2-19 09:24
我就知道我大Ringwood肯定名列前茅

那是。。。要不是我没你那么高大上。。我的那五万块就不会就这么飞走了。。

JwyZZ

mlink3 发表于 2015-2-19 10:21
not much indian now...things have changed since..

also median price is 737k...not 800k..while box ...

r u serious?????? There's plenty of Indians now. Close to the rail station, the smell of curry is just unbearable...........

7 yrs ago, there were way less Indians. The north side of the rail station is now lined up with all Indian groceries!!!!!!!  

mlink3

XiaoxianZ 发表于 2015-2-19 09:24
我就知道我大Ringwood肯定名列前茅

还有你的博士山计划我支持， 长期看山北的潜力更大。
如果有闲钱， 可以考虑CLAYTON..

mlink3

JwyZZ 发表于 2015-2-19 09:50
r u serious?????? There's plenty of Indians now. Close to the rail station, the smell of curry is  ...

。。。。。。。

there are much less indian now. Majority are now all chinese on the street. During 2009 to 2010, for some freaky reason, the whole street was filled up with indian and the whole place looked like an indian town. Clayton's house price went straight down during that period too. But now it is much much better..

JwyZZ

mlink3 发表于 2015-2-19 10:54
。。。。。。。

there are much less indian now. Majority are now all chinese on the street. During ...

No, that is not true. As much as I appreciate your sharing of information. I cannot agree with ur observations. I was there since 2008. There was definitely less Indians and Indian shops back in those days. Just been back to Clayton last month, it has many more Indian shops, restaurant and Indians.

JwyZZ

JwyZZ 发表于 2015-2-19 10:50
r u serious?????? There's plenty of Indians now. Close to the rail station, the smell of curry is  ...

我有房子在clayton啊。但是我还是要客观的说，现在印度人和印度店和咖喱味比以前（就说07好啦）多好多啊。中国人也是多了，但是印度人也变多了很多。

以前火车站附近哪里有那么重的咖喱味啊，现在开车过都要闻到重重的味道。

mlink3

JwyZZ 发表于 2015-2-19 10:01
No, that is not true. As much as I appreciate your sharing of information. I cannot agree with ur  ...

true about those indian facilities. They were built after the indian boom in this town. But their shop locations were all on those unpopular streets with not much parking available. If you go into these shops. You won't see too many indian in fact. But on the contrary, if you go to the south side of the station where the main shopping strips are, there are all chinese and italian on the street. And if you go into the Hongkong grocery supermarket, the amount of chinese are way more than the amount of indian you can see in those indian grocery shop. Well, I was around Clayton since 1999.....I have lived in Ringwood for a year and Noble park for a year too. But all other times were spent in Clayton and even now i lives in Clayton

lokizhang

我家都不在这个list上。好伤心

mlink3

lokizhang 发表于 2015-2-19 10:14
我家都不在这个list上。好伤心

不好意思， 我不可能把每个SUBURB都放上去。。。你在那个区？

mlink3

JwyZZ 发表于 2015-2-19 10:04
我有房子在clayton啊。但是我还是要客观的说，现在印度人和印度店和咖喱味比以前（就说07好啦）多好多啊 ...

07的时候， 印度人还积在CLAYTON SOUTH和CLARINDA, 没有扩张过来。。。 09到11年， 真的是好多， 我都感觉不认识这个地方了。。。现在真的少了许多了。。当然和07年比可能会多些。。。但是哪个区的印度人都是在猛涨的。。。和中国人口一样啊。。对于CLAYTON来说，现在比前几年真的要好很多了

JwyZZ

mlink3 发表于 2015-2-19 11:10
true about those indian facilities. They were built after the indian boom in this town. But their  ...

more indian shops mean more indians living around。 nobody can argue with that inference. If Indians all live near boxhill, why open groceries in Clayton????? I know south side has more Chinese shops, but the north side is Clayton too......... More Chinese does not mean u don't have more Indians. Both population have increased at Clayton while the Greeks moved out.

JwyZZ

mlink3 发表于 2015-2-19 11:21
07的时候， 印度人还积在CLAYTON SOUTH和CLARINDA, 没有扩张过来。。。 09到11年， 真的是好多， 我都感 ...

没关系，反正我不住那，印度人买起房子叫价也很凶。反正我不愁房子卖不出去。

qianqian2007

俺几年前30多元卖了CBA，买apartment，现在CBA90多，俺的小公寓平价卖出。

mlink3

JwyZZ 发表于 2015-2-19 10:23
more indian shops mean more indians living around。 nobody can argue with that inference. If India ...

well, that is true...

但是这是没办法的事。。在墨市房产里有个不变的规律， 就是。。那里中国人多，印度人就一定会跟上。 反过来倒不一定。。但也有些例外的例子的， 比如GLEN HUNTLY 估计是MELBOURNE 东南面 印度人最多的地方， 但也有不少中国人

其实BOX HILL也有不少印度人， glen waverley更多，人口其实和CLAYTON差不多。 但它的人口总量是CLAYTON的两点五倍， 所以看上去比例没有那么高而已。

还有比较重要的一点是， CLARINDA和CLAYTON SOUTH靠垃圾场的那块, 很早的时候就是印度人聚居的地方了。 他们要买东西肯定是到CLAYTON来，还有OAKLEIGH EAST, MT WAVERLEY的印度人们。。 所以那些店开出来也是为了招揽他们的生意。。

2late

为啥没有south yarra?

mlink3

2late 发表于 2015-2-19 10:39
为啥没有south yarra?

忘了。。。。。不过SOUTH YARRA 以APARTMENT为主吧。。

2late

mlink3 发表于 2015-2-19 11:49
忘了。。。。。不过SOUTH YARRA 以APARTMENT为主吧。。

也有不少house吧。听说很贵，哈

mlink3

2late 发表于 2015-2-19 10:52
也有不少house吧。听说很贵，哈

刚刚查了
2007 年 98250
2014年 114000
7 年 增长 16%
84个区里， 倒数第四

2late

mlink3 发表于 2015-2-19 11:54
刚刚查了
2007 年 98250
2014年 114000

倒蛮意外的，我记得4年前我一个住那儿的同事就说房子要上百万了。