中国提高利息0.27%

老杏

刚宣布. 可为什么中国的网站上看不到啊?

[ 本帖最后由 clur 于 2007-5-18 21:23 编辑 ]

jwashing

http://news.sohu.com/20070518/n250103466.shtml

老杏

看来网上更新有半个小时的延迟.

不过这次的组合拳很有意思呢:

金融机构一年期存款基准利率上调０．２７个百分点;
一年期贷款基准利率上调０．１８个百分点;
存款类金融机构人民币存款准备金率上调０．５个百分点;
普通类金融机构将执行１１．５％的存款准备金率标准;
个人住房公积金贷款利率相应上调０．０９个百分点;
银行间即期外汇市场人民币兑美元交易价浮动幅度由千分之三扩大至千分之五.

看来决心很大,而且发生在下周中美高层会谈之前,很有意思.

[ 本帖最后由 clur 于 2007-5-18 21:31 编辑 ]

lyrixyang

从5。19日实施。看起来应该是针对股市的

股票要跌了。外汇也有冲击了

yyebo

高盛预计会有更大的一次调整。因为如果考虑通货膨胀因素，新的存款利率仍然为负。
调整后为3.06 p.a,而根据Bloomberg的数据，今年4月的Comsumer price较去年同期增加了3.1%

再加上缺乏多样化的投资理财以及可靠的社会保险，无论是机构或是个人的投资热情不会减掉太多。

不过总的来说对国家的宏观调控还是比较有信心的。

lyrixyang

虽然不会减掉很多，但是还是会在一定时间里面受影响吧？请高手分析

油花生

说的很明白阿，“为了引导投资合理增长”。

yyebo

影响是必然的，因为对银根进一步紧缩，同时也给过了热的市场一个明确的信号。
这个时候分散投资比较稳妥。

不过猜测机构投机者会在短期调整后进一步拉高出货，在央行采取进一步措施前出局，然后广大散户被套牢，等待下一个大牛市的到来（这一次等了好几年吧）。

iceeyes2000

现在国内的股市却是太热太热了，连扫地的大嫂都投入到股市了。。早应该采取措施降温了。

SD0701

没用

aruka

这种降温，对于股市会有多大的影响，听人说沪市的指数会跌个300-400点，到那时再入市会好点吗？

Imperial

这个没有用的
中国股市要暴跌还没到时候吧，当然迟早要大跌一下的，因为没有业绩支持的股价，就是零和游戏，有人赚50%,意味着有人要赔.

现在的市赢率表面上是60左右，实际上是80-100左右，因为很多公司帐面上多少亿多少亿的赢利都不是来源于产品生产销售，而是来源于股价升高带来的帐面赢利

Devil_Star

Dow Jones and SPI200 roared last night despite of the rate rise of China. That's weird.

老杏

因为大家都认为中国升息是在合适的时间做的正确的事情.所以都很看好中国经济的未来,信心自然高涨.

clickle

原帖由 Devil_Star 于 2007-5-19 09:51 发表
Dow Jones and SPI200 roared last night despite of the rate rise of China. That's weird.

That is Not weird at all, Coz once Chinese interest rate rises, relatively, US's interest rate drops, even though it's absolutely fixed.

Got it?

And then once the later drops, the stock market will be roaring as a sequential response.

There is a thing, in a absolute level, and also, in a relative level, which is the key factor, that justifies its tendency.

[ 本帖最后由 clickle 于 2007-5-19 23:00 编辑 ]

Devil_Star

原帖由 clickle 于 2007-5-19 22:04 发表


That is Not weird at all, Coz once Chinese interest rate rises, relatively, US's interest rate drops, even though it's absolutely fixed.

Got it?

And then once the later drops, the stock m ...

I know what u mean, but its actually dependent on the investors' sentiments. Sometimes such rate hikes can be interpreted as the following lower business margin, slowing growth, thus slowing demand, dragging the world economy. But this time, people just go too frenzy about the china miracle, a bit like what they acted in the 1999 tech boom.

clickle

Don't get me wrong, Devil, what I prescribe is just a logical paradigm, with NO content or meaning inside at all.

You might be right, the Huge inertia is still forwarding. It might also be interpreted, on my point of view, as a relatively lower loan interest rate for US market domestically under an universal expectation of the next interest-decreasing cycle.

But, if the reversal phenomenon would have happened resulted from the same old China-slump-leading episodes while the intertia had been conquered, there will be other reasonable conditions to be used for fabricating a whole new story off.

As a matter of fact, it's arbitrarily unpredictable.