三季度墨尔本房产中间价下滑 四季度跌势依旧 - 更新于#18楼

villa

据2008年11月1日《Herald Sun》报道，维州地产协会公布的最新统计显示，三季度墨尔本房产中间价位从上季度的$450,000下滑至 $435,000，跌幅为3.3%，公寓房（Apartments）价格也下滑0.4%至$369,000元。

本季度传统高价位富人区房价跌幅较大，Albert Park房产中间价从$1,525,000下降至$929,000元，暴跌39％，居跌幅榜首位；紧随其后的是去年曾居涨幅榜首的Armadale，本季度中位价从$1,477,000跌至$1,005,000元，跌幅为32％。此外，Canterbury，Elwood和Brighton也都录得20％的跌幅。

相比之下，本季度房价较易承受的地区受到的冲击较小，表现最佳的是Fitzroy，中位价从$643,750上涨到$800,000 元，涨幅为24.3％。Beaconsfield房产中间价从$378,000上涨到$465,000元，升幅为23％。 Williamstown从$668,778涨至$798,000元，升幅为19.3％。

维州地产协会行政总监Enzo Raimondo表示，本季度的数据截止到9月底，那时联邦政府大幅度增加首次置业补贴的政策尚未出炉，该政策造成的影响将在第四季度的统计数据中慢慢体现出来。









Melbourne's rich areas top of drops in real estate prices


November 01, 2008 12:00am  Article from: Herald Sun

MELBOURNE'S house values have dropped over the past three months because of the volatile economic climate, the latest data has revealed.

The median price of a house in Melbourne has declined by 3.3 per cent to $435,000, according to the Real Estate Institute of Victoria September quarter median property values report.

But it is the most expensive suburbs that have been hardest hit.

Albert Park dropped by a massive 39 per cent, from $1,525,000 to $929,000, followed by Armadale, which fell by 32 per cent from $1,477,000 to $1,005,000.

Canterbury, Elwood and Brighton also recorded drops of at least 20 per cent.

In contrast, the more affordable suburbs were least affected, and performed the best in the June-September quarter.

Fitzroy was a star performer, with the median house price jumping by 24.3 per cent from $643,750 to $800,000.

Beaconsfield increased by 23 per cent from $378,000 to $465,000, while Williamstown jumped by 19.3 per cent from $668,778 to $798,000.

REIV boss Enzo Raimondo said the drop in house values was a direct result of the most difficult external economic climate seen for many years.

"Overall, the local housing market is the most volatile it has been for years," Mr Raimondo said.

"In the March quarter the median price fell, in the June quarter it increased, and now in the September quarter it has fallen."

The quarterly report showed that the median price of a house in Melbourne is now similar to what it was in March this year, when it was $430,000.

Mr Raimondo said people looking to sell their homes would still see good demand, particularly in more affordable areas, as Melbourne was experiencing strong population increases and there were few vacant rental homes.

Figures revealed that the fastest-growing suburbs over the past 12 months included Broadmeadows (up 24.7 per cent to $268,000), Narre Warren (up 22.9 per cent to $329,250), Keysborough (up 19.6 per cent to $400,500), Coburg (up 19.3 per cent to $593,750) and Lalor (up 19.1 per cent to $327,500).

"It's important to note that the majority of sales during the quarter occurred before the 1 per cent cut in interest rates and the increase in the first-home buyers' grant. The impact of these factors will therefore become apparent in the December quarter," Mr Raimondo said.

Unit and apartment values were more stable, dropping by 0.4 per cent from $370,325 to $369,000 in the quarter.

The three main regional cities also performed the same or better than Melbourne.

Ballarat's median price increased by 1.5 per cent from $231,000 to $234,500, Bendigo fell 1.9 per cent from $229,250 to $225,000 and Geelong dropped by 3.3 per cent from $309,000 to $298,744.

[ 本帖最后由 一炷香 于 2009-2-2 19:15 编辑 ]

岁月留下的痕迹

幸庆我买的是低价位区的。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。

MingDeng

谢谢分享...

澳洲桉树

充分说明热钱走后决定房子价格还是性价比。当然热钱是不考虑性价比的。

紫水晶

悉尼本周在47％徘徊

海蓝蓝

现在是买房的好时候了吗？

炸鸡翅

感谢楼主的分享。。。

小红耳朵

上季度一个Brighton的客户参加拍卖买了新房子，230多万，本来他打算老房子不卖，出租等着继续升值，这才1个季度就形势大变，别说升值没指望，还一个劲的下跌，于是急忙租了些家具，弄了下花园，上周就把老房子上市拍卖了，起价110万，最后成交价95万

光明电业

原帖由 小红耳朵 于 2008-11-1 19:22 发表
上季度一个Brighton的客户参加拍卖买了新房子，230多万，本来他打算老房子不卖，出租等着继续升值，这才1个季度就形势大变，别说升值没指望，还一个劲的下跌，于是急忙租了些家具，弄了下花园，上周就把老房子上市拍 ...

那岂不亏老了去？

萱草无忧

竟然还有不少区增幅惊人啊.....

loushenghong

高位区下跌那么厉害的话，真的让人心动啊。

毕竟1.5million基本杀不进Kew啊。

我是老人

一个季度都是两位数字的涨跌?:o

猛.

maleela

原帖由 loushenghong 于 2008-11-1 19:47 发表
高位区下跌那么厉害的话，真的让人心动啊。

毕竟1.5million基本杀不进Kew啊。

前阵子我看了一个在KEW JUNCTION附近的房子，八十多万。五百多平方米的地。

david007

Ｂｒｉｇｈｔｏｎ跌了２０％，有朋友正在看房呢

海蓝蓝

我觉得， BRIGHTON，ALBERT PARK 这种区， 房价1M,2M甚至3M的， 少卖一间房多卖一间房对medium price 影响很大的， 所以，不能全看这个跌幅就认为墨尔本房价就开始跌了， 没有代表性。

panada

不是说富人区是最后跌的么？

炸鸡翅

原帖由 panada 于 2008-11-2 00:23 发表
不是说富人区是最后跌的么？

那都是忽悠人的话，或者是被忽悠的人说出来的话。

一炷香

截止08年12月份的这个季度当中，墨尔本的房价再度下跌，幅度为全国之最，达1.7%，而悉尼仅为0.3%。全澳房价平均下挫0.8%。在此之前的一个季度中，澳洲房价下降了2.4%。

ANZ经济师Alex Joiner认为墨尔本的降幅情理之中，因为07年中墨尔本房价上涨了21%之多，到了08年则跌去3%。


House prices fall again Chris ZapponeFebruary 2, 2009 - 4:35PM


Melbourne led the nation in the drop in house prices over the past quarter.

The city fared the worst in the nation, with house prices sinking 1.7% over the quarter, compared with  a dip of only 0.3% in Sydney.

Nationally, home prices fell 0.8% in the December quarter, following a revised 2.4% drop in the previous three months, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.



ANZ economist Alex Joiner, who noted Melbourne's house prices gained 21% in 2007 and dropped 3% in 2008, said Melbourne's downturn was understandable.

"If you've owned your house for a few years, you've still made quite a bit of money,''

he said. "It's not like the stock market.''

Dr Joiner said drops in capital cities that benefited most from the boom were easing a little bit more now, he said, referring to Western Australia and Queensland.

Home prices in Victoria and NSW did not have commodities money pouring into them, they way they did in Queensland and WA in the past five years, he said.

However, home prices in Melbourne, with its diversified economy are likely to hold up better than in Sydney, he said.

"NSW is obviously going to soften quite a bit because it's more of a financial service sector city,'' Dr Joiner said, referring to the lay-offs triggered by the global financial crisis which has felled banks and savaged profits.

"So Melbourne is probably going to perform a little bit better than Sydney. And that will transfer through to the property markets as well.''


Government efforts stabilise market

Overall, house prices fell less than expected, suggesting government efforts to prop up the industry in the face of the global recession are gaining traction.

Nonetheless, weaker home prices mean the Reserve Bank is likely to slash official rates again when it meets tomorrow.

For the year, house prices lost 3.3%, down from a revised 1.6% gain in the September quarter, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Analysts expected a 2.4% contraction in the annual number.


Falls across the board

Other capital cities saw their prices drop, with Perth losing 0.9% and Hobart giving up 1%. Bucking the trend were Darwin, which gained 1.6%, Canberra with added 0.7% and Adelaide edged up 0.3%.

The Federal Government, along with the RBA, has focused on jumpstarting the economy in recent months as the global recession begins to drag on local growth.

Last year the Federal Government announced a $10.4 billion stimulus package, aimed in part at resuscitating the housing industry. Analysts expect the government to unveil another aid package in coming weeks.

''Government measures have helped to limit the damage'' to home prices, said economist Nik Bhattacharyya of Moody's Economy.com.

But he said the slumping home prices were't exactly good news. "House prices have fallen across the board."

The RBA is expected to cut the official cash rate tomorrow by 1 percentage point (100 basis points), taking it to an all-time record low of 3.25% in an effort to keep the economy expanding in the face of global recession.

"We expect the RBA to deliver another 100 basis points cut to the cash rate tomorrow," said JPMorgan economist Helen Kevans.  "If the RBA delivers on our expectations, it will have delivered 450bp worth of rate cuts since last September."


Further drops ahead

"Our forecast is for house prices to fall 10% in 2009, faring much better than most other countries," she said.

"Larger falls in house prices may materialise, although the acute shortage of new homes and accelerating population growth - mainly on the back of higher skilled migration - will provide support for house prices in some cities."


Manufacturing slumps

In further gloomy news for the economy, a reading of manufacturing activity contracted for the eighth month, to 36.6 in January, as businesses ran down inventories and there was little demand to restock, according to the Australian Industry Group's performance of manufacturing index.

The economy is expected to shrink by 0.2% in 2009, according to revised forecast by the International Monetary Fund released over the weekend, down from expectations of 2.2% growth over the same period.


czappone@fairfax.com.au


BusinessDay

xus

补贴了还跌得这么惨。。。

语阁

跌的不多呀，继续。。。