Bennelong 补选低于5% 的swing 表明：“自由党反华” 对华人选票产生重大影响是无稽之谈

steven3721

用新闻中的数据说话：

WITH ALMOST 83% of the vote counted at the time of writing, Labor will be bitterly disappointed with a swing of only 4.94% two-party-preferred to the Party in Saturday’s by-election in Bennelong.

They had been hoping for much more than the average 5% by-election swing and had even entertained the idea that former New South Wales Premier Kristina Keneally could win.  

If the pre-poll and postal votes favour the Liberals – as they may do – it is possible they will win the seat by about 55% to 45%, two-party preferred.

The ReachTEL poll in the days before the by-election gave the Liberals a two-party preferred outcome of 53% to 47%. An Essential poll had the parties at 50/50, which was in the order of almost a 10% swing to Labor.

Instead, a swing of less than 5% means the Government – and Malcolm Turnbull especially – are crowing loudly. The successful candidate, John Alexander, even called it a "renaissance" for Turnbull’s leadership.  

补选的平均swing 是5%  ; 因此这次  Bennelong 补选中低于5% 的swing 证明自由党取得了货真价实的胜利。用 swing 来证明所谓“自由党反华” 对华人选票的影响基本是无稽之谈。

aowu

狗粮的胜利

southenstar

自由党不进难民，前两年进的是过去30年最多的，打脸！联盟党不搞同性恋，花几十亿的搞，带头通过法律，打脸！左打一巴掌，右打一巴掌。自粉的脸都被打肿了，还在那里太君大大的好。自由党说澳洲站起来跟中国对着干。自粉说太君威武我投票给你。看看，这些傻华人被自由党卖了那么多次，还是替自由党数钱。

黑山老妖

人生那么短，何必理这种人干嘛，让他们自high就是了。我们看着他们娱乐一下就是。