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楼主:psp8023

[个股讨论] 看空FMG等铁矿股, 看空澳币 [复制链接]

发表于 2017-3-21 11:21 来自手机 |显示全部楼层
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这几天每天涨0.1…
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发表于 2017-3-21 11:22 |显示全部楼层
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别急 lz 还有10天的期限。。。

发表于 2017-3-21 11:27 来自手机 |显示全部楼层
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楼主跑了?

发表于 2017-3-21 13:43 |显示全部楼层
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一个月期限早已经过去 楼主已经灰溜溜的跑了

发表于 2017-3-24 14:22 |显示全部楼层
此文章由 psp8023 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 psp8023 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
叽喳乱叫的
自己看FMG 股价

澳币有无跌到过5.1x. 自己查查去哈

另外澳币现在跌倒5.2X
别看美国发言偏软,澳币涨了一波,,还要回来!!
等这几天趋势,自己看去。

再喊!5.1X 一个月内 再现!!1

发表于 2017-3-24 16:07 |显示全部楼层
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psp8023 发表于 2017-3-24 13:22
叽喳乱叫的
自己看FMG 股价

LZ对自己的猜测这么自信,不知道有没有出手实战呀? 我们也可以借鉴学习一下.
还是只在这里纸上谈兵,大家只是图个口舌快活,一笑而过?
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发表于 2017-4-13 10:22 |显示全部楼层
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发表于 2017-4-13 10:26 |显示全部楼层
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LZ is correct

发表于 2017-4-13 10:26 |显示全部楼层
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In the near future, you will see many negative news about Iron ore price on newspaper.
never trust what people says on this platform, you need some skills to figure out what is really happening.

My English is not good enough, hope you can understand.

发表于 2017-4-13 10:27 |显示全部楼层
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My previous post.

发表于 2017-4-13 10:28 |显示全部楼层
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Iron ore free falls to $US68.04 a tonne as buyers disappear
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The spot price is widely forecast to slide towards the $US55 mark as this year progresses, and to hold near that level ...
The spot price is widely forecast to slide towards the $US55 mark as this year progresses, and to hold near that level through 2018. Michele Mossop
by Timothy Moore
Iron ore tumbled 8.5 per cent overnight as downward momentum accelerated, The spot price dropped $US6.34 to $US68.04 a tonne, according to Metal Bulletin. It has now shed 28 per cent from its February 21 high of $US94.86.

In a vicious cycle, buyers are pulling back, opting to tap either their own stockpiles or those already at Chinese ports, anticipating prices to fall still lower. The spot price is widely forecast to slide towards the $US55 mark as this year progresses, and to hold near that level through 2018. "Our outlook for the second half remains relatively bearish, with third-quarter forecast at $US60," Goldman Sachs analysts including Jeffrey Currie and Amber Cai wrote in a new report.

The volatility in prices reflects uncertainty about global supply, which is rising, as well as renewed output within China as mines there emerge from winter, and seek to cash in on the higher prices and seasonal demand for steel; all of this has been thoroughly assessed by industry executives and analysts for months.

At the moment though, it's the pace of the current retreat that's injected a degree of panic into the market.

"Nobody seems to be buying during this round of (the) downturn," sources told Metal Bulletin.

The plunge in the spot price comes amid a contraction in futures contracts for both steel and iron ore. The most active rebar contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange settled 3.5 per cent down at 2893 yuan ($US420), the lowest since February 2. Iron ore on the Dalian Commodity Exchange settled 3.3 per cent lower at 506 yuan, the lowest price since January 10. In late trading, Dalian iron ore slipped another 1.4 per cent to 504 yuan.

"Short-sellers are unleashing their energy" into a market where "confidence is nowhere to be found", a trading source in Shanghai said told Metal Bulletin. "Liquidity remained dry for both seaborne and port cargoes, as mills and traders are both drawing down their iron ore stocks," he added.

"We're not seeing much interest on the buy side, everyone is nervous that the bottom is falling out," said a commodities trader in Perth, Australia, who closely monitors activity on China's Dalian and Shanghai Futures Exchanges for overseas clients.

Dalian coking coal was also swept up in the sell off, sliding 6.7 per cent to 1154.50 yuan a tonne, the weakest since February 10 while coke — made from coking coal — tumbled nearly 7 per cent to a one-month low of 1633.50 yuan.

Steel demand wavers

Sentiment also has turned somewhat negative on steel demand within China. On Wednesday, China reported that producer price inflation eased for the first time in seven months in March. Producer prices rose 7.6 per cent year-over-year last month, down from 7.8 per cent in February.

"This marks the first monthly decline in producer price inflation since August 2015 and reflects less rapid gains in the prices of many industrial commodities," Capital Economics China economist Julian Evans-Pritchard wrote.

"Looking ahead, we expect producer price inflation to drop back further during the coming months as base effects become less favourable and economic activity begins to cool on the back of a tighter policy stance."

There is rising concern about the outlook for China's economy, with expectations that it will slow amid official efforts to cool a red-hot property market, contain debt risks and continuing efforts by the central bank to tighten monetary policy.

Most analysts agree the property market may pose the single biggest immediate risk to growth.

In March and early April, more than a dozen local governments imposed or tightened restrictions on home purchases and tightened mortgage down payment rules, after data showed housing prices, sales and investment remained strong, defying earlier cooling measures.

Increasingly tough measures are expected to slow activity in the property market eventually, but at the risk of a nasty crash that would damage the economy and consumer confidence.



Read more: http://www.afr.com/business/mining/iron-ore/iron-ore-free-falls-to-us6804-a-tonne-as-buyers-disappear-20170412-gvk0cb#ixzz4e54xF9SH
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发表于 2017-4-13 17:32 |显示全部楼层
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timing太重要了,楼主要是给自个3-6个月,就全对了。

发表于 2017-4-13 17:50 |显示全部楼层
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铁矿就是赌博工具,涨的时候像疯了一样,跌的时候也像疯了一样

发表于 2017-4-13 18:47 来自手机 |显示全部楼层
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jack2k 发表于 2017-4-13 16:32
timing太重要了,楼主要是给自个3-6个月,就全对了。

如果非要在這timing上加一個期限的話,我希望是一萬年

发表于 2017-4-18 10:54 |显示全部楼层
此文章由 咖啡文化 原创或转贴,不代表本站立场和观点,版权归 oursteps.com.au 和作者 咖啡文化 所有!转贴必须注明作者、出处和本声明,并保持内容完整
感觉不是做空铁矿的好时机啊,政策、形势多变,而且涉及到汇率

发表于 2017-4-18 11:25 来自手机 |显示全部楼层
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这几天澳币受国际形势影响过于坚挺,感觉随时大幅往下可能。
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